Texas is closing in on 17.6M registered voters as Tuesday’s deadline approaches, representing a net increase of 410K since the March primary and 640K since November 2020.

According to Republican consultant and data nerd Derek Ryan’s analysis, there have been 421K voter registrations since the U.S. Supreme Court issued its Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade. This is roughly the same number of new registrations as occurred during the same period in 2018. The percentage of new registrants who are women stands at 52.1%, a fraction above the same period in 2018 (51.5%). The same is true for new registrants under age 30 this year (46%) and in 2018 (47%).

Ryan concludes that there has been no surge in voter registrations since the Dobbs decision, and it certainly does appear to be the case.

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